Thursday, January 04, 2007

Fun with Bayes

God exists - with at probability of .67. I want to see the priors for that!

4 comments:

Martin Sewell said...

"Through special pleading, Unwin begins by invoking an a-priori 50% probability towards his god’s existence by arguing that 50% is an expression of maximum ignorance (p. 58)." How absurd, the prior should be close to zero.

Auntie Em said...
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Auntie Em said...
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Auntie Em said...

Exactly! Bayes' theorem is like an axe - very useful, but don't let an idiot wave one around...

Ok - so it took 3 attempts to spell the words in this post correctly - it's sunday and I'm hungover... <shame>

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