God exists - with at probability of .67. I want to see the priors for that!
"Through special pleading, Unwin begins by invoking an a-priori 50% probability towards his god’s existence by arguing that 50% is an expression of maximum ignorance (p. 58)." How absurd, the prior should be close to zero.
Exactly! Bayes' theorem is like an axe - very useful, but don't let an idiot wave one around...Ok - so it took 3 attempts to spell the words in this post correctly - it's sunday and I'm hungover... <shame>